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  1. In manufacturing, causal relations between components have become crucial to automate assembly lines. Identifying these relations permits error tracing and correction in the absence of domain experts, in addition to advancing our knowledge about the operating characteristics of a complex system. This paper is motivated by a case study focusing on deciphering the causal structure of a wafer manufacturing system using data from sensors and abnormality monitors deployed within the assembly line. In response to the distinctive characteristics of the wafer manufacturing data, such as multimodality, high-dimensionality, imbalanced classes, and irregular missing patterns, we propose a hierarchical ensemble approach. This method leverages the temporal and domain constraints inherent in the assembly line and provides a measure of uncertainty in causal discovery. We extensively examine its operating characteristics via simulations and validate its effectiveness through simulation experiments and a practical application involving data obtained from Seagate Technology. Domain engineers have cross-validated the learned structures and corroborated the identified causal relationships. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available October 1, 2024
  2. This article introduces a causal discovery method to learn nonlinear relationships in a directed acyclic graph with correlatedGaussian errors due to confounding. First,we derive model identifiability under the sublinear growth assumption. Then, we propose a novel method, named the Deconfounded Functional Structure Estimation (DeFuSE), consisting of a deconfounding adjustment to remove the confounding effects and a sequential procedure to estimate the causal order of variables. We implement DeFuSE via feedforward neural networks for scalable computation. Moreover, we establish the consistency of DeFuSE under an assumption called the strong causal minimality. In simulations, DeFuSE compares favorably against state of-the-art competitors that ignore confounding or nonlinearity. Finally, we demonstrate the utility and effectiveness of the proposed approach with an application to gene regulatory network analysis. The Python implementation is available at https://github.com/chunlinli/defuse. Supplementary materials for this article are available online. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available October 1, 2024
  3. This article proposes a novel causal discovery and inference method called GrIVET for a Gaussian directed acyclic graph with unmeasured confounders. GrIVET consists of an order-based causal discovery method and a likelihood-based inferential procedure. For causal discovery, we generalize the existing peeling algorithm to estimate the ancestral relations and candidate instruments in the presence of hidden confounders. Based on this, we propose a new procedure for instrumental variable estimation of each direct effect by separating it from any mediation effects. For inference, we develop a new likelihood ratio test of multiple causal effects that is able to account for the unmeasured confounders. Theoretically, we prove that the proposed method has desirable guarantees, including robustness to invalid instruments and uncertain interventions, estimation consistency, low-order polynomial time complexity, and validity of asymptotic inference. Numerically, GrIVET performs well and compares favorably against state-of-the-art competitors. Furthermore, we demonstrate the utility and effectiveness of the proposed method through an application inferring regulatory pathways from Alzheimer’s disease gene expression data. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available October 4, 2024
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  6. Data perturbation is a technique for generating synthetic data by adding ‘noise’ to raw data, which has an array of applications in science and engineering, primarily in data security and privacy. One challenge for data perturbation is that it usually produces synthetic data resulting in information loss at the expense of privacy protection. The information loss, in turn, renders the accuracy loss for any statistical or machine learning method based on the synthetic data, weakening downstream analysis and deteriorating in machine learning. In this article, we introduce and advocate a fundamental principle of data perturbation, which requires the preservation of the distribution of raw data. To achieve this, we propose a new scheme, named data flush, which ascertains the validity of the downstream analysis and maintains the predictive accuracy of a learning task. It perturbs data nonlinearly while accommodating the requirement of strict privacy protection, for instance, differential privacy. We highlight multiple facets of data flush through examples. 
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  8. In precision medicine, the ultimate goal is to recommend the most effective treatment to an individual patient based on patient‐specific molecular and clinical profiles, possibly high‐dimensional. To advance cancer treatment, large‐scale screenings of cancer cell lines against chemical compounds have been performed to help better understand the relationship between genomic features and drug response; existing machine learning approaches use exclusively supervised learning, including penalized regression and recommender systems. However, it would be more efficient to apply reinforcement learning to sequentially learn as data accrue, including selecting the most promising therapy for a patient given individual molecular and clinical features and then collecting and learning from the corresponding data. In this article, we propose a novel personalized ranking system called Proximal Policy Optimization Ranking (PPORank), which ranks the drugs based on their predicted effects per cell line (or patient) in the framework of deep reinforcement learning (DRL). Modeled as a Markov decision process, the proposed method learns to recommend the most suitable drugs sequentially and continuously over time. As a proof‐of‐concept, we conduct experiments on two large‐scale cancer cell line data sets in addition to simulated data. The results demonstrate that the proposed DRL‐based PPORank outperforms the state‐of‐the‐art competitors based on supervised learning. Taken together, we conclude that novel methods in the framework of DRL have great potential for precision medicine and should be further studied.

     
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